Pre-tourney Rankings
Iowa St.
Big 12
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.5#35
Expected Predictive Rating+10.7#43
Pace74.8#39
Improvement-0.4#189

Offense
Total Offense+10.4#7
Improvement+3.0#55

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#139
Improvement-3.4#315
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 84.6% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 84.6% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four11.1% n/a n/a
First Round79.7% n/a n/a
Second Round36.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen12.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight4.6% n/a n/a
Final Four1.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.5% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 11 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2012 190   Southern W 82-59 92%     1 - 0 +18.6 -3.4 +18.3
  Nov 12, 2012 339   Alabama A&M W 98-40 99%     2 - 0 +40.0 +15.2 +23.5
  Nov 18, 2012 298   Campbell W 88-68 98%     3 - 0 +7.8 +3.1 +3.6
  Nov 20, 2012 231   N.C. A&T W 86-57 95%     4 - 0 +21.8 +7.6 +11.8
  Nov 23, 2012 38   Cincinnati L 70-78 51%     4 - 1 +3.2 -1.9 +6.0
  Nov 24, 2012 31   UNLV L 70-82 48%     4 - 2 +0.0 -1.5 +2.9
  Dec 01, 2012 62   BYU W 83-62 74%     5 - 2 +25.8 +4.5 +19.2
  Dec 04, 2012 140   Florida Gulf Coast W 83-72 89%     6 - 2 +9.4 +1.1 +7.1
  Dec 07, 2012 36   @ Iowa L 71-80 38%     6 - 3 +5.6 +3.6 +2.5
  Dec 09, 2012 322   Nebraska Omaha W 93-65 98%     7 - 3 +13.8 +6.8 +6.7
  Dec 15, 2012 118   Drake W 86-77 78%     8 - 3 +12.2 +1.3 +9.8
  Dec 19, 2012 318   @ UMKC W 76-61 95%     9 - 3 +7.9 +12.4 -2.2
  Jan 01, 2013 188   Yale W 80-70 92%     10 - 3 +5.6 +3.4 +2.1
  Jan 09, 2013 5   @ Kansas L 89-97 OT 17%     10 - 4 0 - 1 +13.5 +14.6 +0.1
  Jan 12, 2013 88   Texas W 82-62 81%     11 - 4 1 - 1 +22.2 +20.1 +4.0
  Jan 16, 2013 121   West Virginia W 69-67 86%     12 - 4 2 - 1 +1.9 -1.1 +3.1
  Jan 19, 2013 254   @ TCU W 63-50 89%     13 - 4 3 - 1 +10.9 +0.9 +11.8
  Jan 23, 2013 226   @ Texas Tech L 51-56 87%     13 - 5 3 - 2 -5.5 -22.0 +16.5
  Jan 26, 2013 25   Kansas St. W 73-67 58%     14 - 5 4 - 2 +15.4 +8.9 +7.0
  Jan 30, 2013 21   @ Oklahoma St. L 76-78 31%     14 - 6 4 - 3 +14.6 +14.0 +0.6
  Feb 02, 2013 37   Baylor W 79-71 63%     15 - 6 5 - 3 +16.0 +4.7 +10.9
  Feb 04, 2013 43   Oklahoma W 83-64 67%     16 - 6 6 - 3 +26.0 +14.7 +11.8
  Feb 09, 2013 25   @ Kansas St. L 70-79 34%     16 - 7 6 - 4 +6.9 +9.4 -3.4
  Feb 13, 2013 88   @ Texas L 86-89 2OT 61%     16 - 8 6 - 5 +5.7 +5.2 +1.0
  Feb 16, 2013 254   TCU W 87-53 96%     17 - 8 7 - 5 +25.4 +12.5 +12.8
  Feb 20, 2013 37   @ Baylor W 87-82 38%     18 - 8 8 - 5 +19.5 +20.7 -1.2
  Feb 23, 2013 226   Texas Tech W 86-66 95%     19 - 8 9 - 5 +13.1 +7.4 +5.4
  Feb 25, 2013 5   Kansas L 96-108 OT 37%     19 - 9 9 - 6 +3.0 +14.7 -9.6
  Mar 02, 2013 43   @ Oklahoma L 69-86 42%     19 - 10 9 - 7 -3.5 +2.6 -6.3
  Mar 06, 2013 21   Oklahoma St. W 87-76 55%     20 - 10 10 - 7 +21.1 +15.7 +4.8
  Mar 09, 2013 121   @ West Virginia W 83-74 69%     21 - 10 11 - 7 +15.4 +7.0 +7.7
  Mar 14, 2013 43   Oklahoma W 73-66 55%     22 - 10 +17.2 +10.4 +7.4
  Mar 15, 2013 5   Kansas L 73-88 26%     22 - 11 +3.2 +4.7 -0.3
Projected Record 22.0 - 11.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 84.6% 84.6% 10.4 0.0 0.4 5.2 12.5 24.1 30.7 11.9 0.0 15.4 84.6%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 84.6% 0.0% 84.6% 10.4 0.0 0.4 5.2 12.5 24.1 30.7 11.9 0.0 15.4 84.6%